25/108 PM.
Temperatures will remain above normal across all valleys and interior locations through this weekend. Persistent marine layer will keep temperatures on the cooler side for coastal areas south of Point Conception through at least Thursday. A warming trend Friday through the weekend will push temperatures to 10 to 20 degrees above normal. Cooler conditions are likely early next week with rain possible by Wednesday.
(tdy-Sat), 25/130 PM.
A return of light onshore flow along the Central Coast dropped temperatures several degrees there. Elsewhere, today was a lot like Tuesday with cool but seasonal temperatures at the coast and 80s inland.
Likely at least one or two more very similar days Thursday and for coastal areas Friday with areas of coastal fog before light offshore flow returns for the weekend with building high pressure aloft and some increasing northerly winds across the mountains and parts of the Santa Barbara County. Winds are not expected to quite reach advisory levels but will produce some downslope warming that will contribute to the warming trend this weekend. The warmest day is expected to be Saturday with highs in the 80s near the coast and 90s inland. Based on the record highs for Saturday there is definitely a chance of some broken temperature records.
(Sun-Wed), 25/201 PM.
One last hot day Sunday, though likely with an earlier sea breeze arrival for coastal areas as offshore gradients trend onshore by afternoon, if not sooner.
A cooling trend will begin in earnest Monday and continue through all of next week. Still looking at a high probability of rain locally, roughly a 60 to 80% chance, though timing and amounts are fluctuating. The AI models that for several days were leading the charge on this next system have lowered amounts quite a bit and now are mostly under a half inch across the area. Timing could be as early as late Monday night or as late as Wednesday, though the majority is still Tuesday.
25/1801z.
At 17Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 1300 feet deep. The top of the inversion was at 2800 feet with a temperature of 20 C.
High confidence TAFs for KPRB, KPMD, & KWJF.
Moderate confidence in TAF for KSBP and KSMX with a 20-30 percent chc of LIFR/VLIFR conds 12Z-17Z Thu morning, otherwise VFR conds expected.
Moderate confidence in remaining TAFs. Timing of CIG/VSBY restrictions may be off +/- 2 hours. Cig hgt could be off by +/- 200 ft.
KLAX, Moderate confidence in TAF. SCT conds on Thu could arrive as late as 20Z. Low clouds could return as early as 26/01Z. No significant east wind component is expected.
KBUR, Moderate confidence in TAF.
25/158 PM.
High confidence in Small Craft Advisory (SCA) winds and steep seas increasing rapidly through this evening over the offshore waters from the Central Coast down to San Nicolas Island. It will remain windy through Thursday Night and will likely weaken quickly and significantly on Friday. The winds peak tonight through Thursday morning, when there is a 40% chance for low-end Gales. Moderate to hi confidence conds will be generally below SCA levels Friday night through Monday night.
Moderate to hi confidence in the rest of the waters being without a SCA through Monday night.
Ca, NONE. PZ, Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PDT Thursday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Friday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
