29/140 PM.
Temperatures will be 10-20 degrees above normal through at least Saturday. Locally breezy Santa Ana winds are likely again Friday, mainly in the mountains. Some cooling expected Sunday and Monday then another warming trend is expected the rest of next week.
(tdy-Sun), 29/229 PM.
As expected, pressure gradients have trended strongly offshore, and while there are some gusty northeast winds across portions of LA/Ventura Counties and in the Santa Lucia Mountains in SLO County, the primary weather feature that most people will notice today and through the at least Saturday will be the unseasonably warm temperatures. The 24 hour temperature change chart shows temps up 10-20 degrees from yesterday at this time across LA/Ventura Counties and just slightly less along the Central Coast. The peak temperatures will be Friday and Saturday when some daily records may be broken.
(Mon-Thu), 29/229 PM.
High pressure returns Tuesday with again rapidly warming temperatures through at least Thursday. There is a potential for even warmer temperatures next week, possibly as high as 90, as a 585dam high establishes itself somewhere over the West coast and strong offshore flow returns. Still not seeing a ton of upper level wind support but would not be surprised if some low end wind advisories are needed at times, mainly again in the mountains.
Prospects for rain any time soon are bleak. Longer range ensembles are still pegging around the 9th or 10th of Feb for our next chance of any rain, but most of those solutions are well under a half inch.
30/0050z.
At 0007Z, there was no marine layer at KLAX. There was a surface- based inversion up to 800 feet with a temperature of 24 degrees Celsius.
High confidence in VFR TAFs, except for a 20-30% chance of LIFR/VLIFR conds at KPRB between 13Z to 15Z. Moderate confidence in winds as NE winds will persist across the region through the period.
Mdt LLWS possible at KSBP, KSMX, KVNY, and KBUR, and mdt turbulence possible over the mountains and foothills.
KLAX, High confidence in VFR conds for the 00Z TAF. There is a 20% chance of an east wind component up to 8 knots between 06Z and 18Z.
KBUR, High confidence in VFR conds for the 00Z TAF. Lgt to mdt LLWS and turbulence possible through the period. 30% chance of brief east-northeast winds to surface at KBUR through 03Z.
29/142 PM.
A combination of seas near 10 feet and occasional north to northeast wind gusts of 20-25 knots will create periods Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level conditions through at least late tonight across the waters southwest through northwest of the Channel Islands. There is a 30% chance for these conditions to linger into the morning hours Friday, best chances north and west of Point Conception, including nearshore. Conditions will improve through Saturday, then moderate confidence in SCA conds returning late this weekend into early next week.
There is a 25% chance for similar conditions to impact the nearshore waters along the Central Coast late tonight through the early afternoon hours Friday, but any SCA level wind gusts will likely be localized near Cayucos and Morro Bay. Offshore winds will likely return next week, but low confidence in maximum wind speeds.
Inside the Southern California Bight, nearshore areas from Ventura through Malibu will see northeast wind gusts of 20-25 knots during the late evening to early afternoon hours through Saturday, with relative lulls outside of the peak hours. Low chance for localized gusts to 35 knots. There is also a 50% chance of these winds reaching Anacapa and Santa Cruz Islands during the aforementioned periods. Highly unlikely that winds greater than 10-15 knots reach Avalon or Two Harbors. Conditions will then improve, with Santa Ana winds likely returning by next Tuesday night.
Ca, NONE. PZ, Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 AM PST Friday for zone 655. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PST Friday for zones 670-673. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PST this evening for zone 676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
