01/238 AM.
Showers will be tapering off this morning and sunshine will prevail the rest of today. Dry and warmer conditions can be expected throughout this coming week.
(tdy-Tue), 01/933 AM.
***UPDATE***
There is a band of showers currently passing through Santa Barbara and eastern San Luis Obispo Counties. Hourly rainfall rates are only about a tenth of an inch, so no major impacts are expected. This band will likely be the end of the rain from this system, and it should exit to the east of LA County by early afternoon. Still expecting the weak offshore winds in the short term.
***From Previous Discussion***
We are firmly in the backside of this tricky storm system but not quite done with the rain just yet. Scattered showers can be expected through the morning hours but not expecting anything impactful. The storm lived up to its billing of a showery nature resulting in widely varying rain amounts, but for the most part of limited impact except for some damp trick-or-treaters. However, the storm also overachieved in isolated areas western Ventura County and parts of LA County where rain rates managed to reach around 0.80" per hour and totals of well over an inch.
Dry and warmer weather will return Monday with slowly warming temperatures through the week thanks in part to some weak offshore flow. Not really expecting any Santa Ana winds of significance but some of the mountains will likely have some 20-30 mph gusts at times. By Tuesday highs will generally be within a few degrees of normal. There will be a weak weather system moving into northern California Tuesday which is why the warming trend will be a slow one at least to start this week. A few of the ensemble solutions show some very light precip near the coastal border of SLO/Monterey County Tuesday afternoon but dry elsewhere.
(Wed-Sat), 01/335 AM.
The slow warming trend will continue through the week and even into the weekend and likely even into the following week. Offshore gradients are expected to increase late in the week which would lead to warmer temperatures and some gusty Santa Ana winds at times. These would likely peak next weekend with temperatures in the 80s for coast and valleys.
01/1858z.
At 18Z at KLAX, there was no inversion or marine layer.
Moderate confidence in wind timing and strength with high confidence of VFR conds prevailing.
KLAX, High confidence in VFR conds prevailing through the period. Good confidence in any east wind component remaining below 8 kt and likely under 6 kt.
KBUR, High confidence in TAF, except moderate confidence in wind.
01/924 AM.
High confidence in post-frontal SCA-level W-NW winds with local gale gusts and choppy spreading to most coastal waters today, including the entire Santa Barbara Channel and the Santa Monica Bay. The winds turn to the NE on Monday and will likely stay below SCA- levels. There is a chance for another round of post-frontal winds on Tuesday and Wednesday, but likely a step below in strength compared to Sunday.
Ca, Beach Hazards Statement in effect through Monday afternoon for zones 354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX). PZ, Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PST this evening for zones 645-650-655-670. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PST Monday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
