Swell Matrix

Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service San Diego CA

225 am PST Fri Nov 28 2025

Synopsis

Through Sunday, stronger onshore flow and a weak coastal eddy will bring gradual deepening of the marine layer with cooling spreading inland. Night and morning coastal low clouds and fog will increase in coverage and spreading a little farther inland each night through the weekend. Weak northerly flow on Monday will bring warming for the coast and valleys and cooling inland. A low pressure system moving southward along the West Coast will bring cooling for Wednesday and Thursday. If the track is far enough to the west, there would also be a chance of showers.

Discussion

For extreme southwestern California including Orange, San Diego, western Riverside and southwestern San Bernardino counties,

Short Term

(today through Sunday), A weak coastal eddy has developed with local higher-resolution model guidance showing the eddy continuing into Sunday morning with slow deepening of the marine layer along with increasing coverage of night and morning coastal low clouds and fog.

The lower level flow is still weakly offshore, though trending weakly onshore. Satellite imagery shows low clouds and fog over the coastal waters remaining off the coast of San Diego and southern Orange Counties and drifting farther off the coast with the low clouds and fog extending locally inland into northern Orange County and southern Los Angeles Counties. The fog is locally dense with visibility of one-quarter mile or less at Long Beach and Los Alamitos.

As onshore flow returns and the marine layer slowly deepens, cooling will spread inland through the weekend. High temperatures today for the coast and valleys will be as much as 4 to 8 degrees cooler than Thanksgiving with the greater cooling on Saturday for the mountains and high desert. The cooling will continue for the coast and valleys on Sunday as the marine layer deepens. High temperatures on Sunday will be a few degrees below average for coastal areas with the mountains and deserts as much as 4 to 8 degrees above average. High temperatures on Sunday will range from the lower to mid 60s near the coast to around 70 for the valleys with the 70s for the lower deserts.

Long Term

(Monday through Thursday), For Monday, northerly low level flow will bring cooling of 4 to 8 degrees for the mountains and high desert and warming of a few degrees for the coast and valleys. The coast and valleys will cool a few degrees on Tuesday and the mountains and high deserts will warm a few degrees as the lower-level northerly flow weakens.

For Wednesday and Thursday, a low pressure system moving southward in the vicinity of the West Coast will bring cooling. Depending on the track and evolution of this system, it could also bring a chance of precipitation.

Aviation

280930z. Coasts/Valleys, Low clouds based around 400-700 ft MSL have been hanging out offshore and just north of KSNA along the coast. Still a 40-60% chance for CIGs at coastal sites overnight (highest chances after 10Z KSAN, 13Z KCRQ, and 14Z KSNA). Localized VIS reductions down to 4-6SM are possible during this time as well, 1-3 SM for elevated coastal terrain impacted by clouds. Any low clouds should begin clearing to the coast around 15-17Z, except for parts of northern Orange County where clouds could persist through 18-20Z. Higher chances for more widespread low clouds 600-900 ft MSL spreading into coastal areas up to 15 miles from shore after 02Z Saturday with VIS reductions down to 3-5SM possible.

.Mountains/Deserts, VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. FEW-SCT high clouds around 25,000 ft MSL expected.

Marine

No hazardous marine conditions are expected through Wednesday.

Watches, Warnings, Advisories

Ca, Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM PST this morning for Orange County Coastal Areas.

PZ, None.

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