Swell Matrix

Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service San Diego CA

1057 am PDT Tue jul 28 2026

Synopsis

It will continue to be not quite as hot for today and Wednesday with high temperatures ranging from a few degrees above average for the coast and valleys to around 5 degrees above average for the deserts. High pressure to the east will strengthen and expand westward for Thursday into the weekend. The heat is expected to peak on Saturday with high temperatures for inland areas 10 to 15 degrees above average, near record setting for the lower deserts and portions of the mountains.

Discussion

For extreme southwestern California including Orange, San Diego, western Riverside and southwestern San Bernardino counties,

, UPDATED AVIATION/MARINE/BEACHES DISCUSSION,

Short Term

(today through Thursday), It will continue to be not quite as hot for today and Wednesday with high temperatures ranging from a few degrees above average for the coast and valleys to around 5 degrees above average for the deserts. High temperatures through Wednesday will range from the mid to upper 70s near the coast to the 90s to around 100 for the Inland Empire with 110 to 114 for the lower deserts.

High pressure to the east will strengthen and expand westward for Thursday into the weekend with warming beginning on Thursday. High temperatures will warm a few degrees on Thursday to a few degrees above average near the coast to as much as 5 to 10 degrees above average for the deserts. High temperatures on Thursday will range from the mid 70s to around 80 near the coast to the mid 90s to 105 for the Inland Empire with 112 to 116 for the lower deserts.

Long Term

(Friday through Monday), High pressure will strengthen into the weekend. The heat is currently forecast to peak on Saturday with high temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above average for coastal areas and 10 to 15 degrees above average for inland areas. High temperatures on Saturday will range from around 80 near the coast to 100 to 110 for the Inland Empire with 118 to 122 for the lower deserts. The most likely locations to tie or set new record high temperatures on Saturday are in the mountains and lower deserts, though there are some additional valley and inland coastal locations that could also be near record levels.

High temperatures will begin to cool a few degrees for Sunday and Monday, but still be around 10 degrees above average for inland areas on Monday with extreme HeatRisk for the deserts.

Aviation

281800z. Coast/Valleys, Locally BKN-OVC at some beaches into the afternoon, with clear conditions elsewhere. Low clouds push inland 03-07Z Wed, with bases 700-1200 ft MSL. Most likely coastal TAF site for cigs below 1000 ft MSL is KCRQ, with only 40-50 percent chance at KSAN and KSNA. VIS 3-5SM where stratus nears higher coastal terrain and in the western valleys. Low clouds will scatter out 16- 18Z Wed.

Mountains/Deserts, Mostly clear skies and VFR conditions expected into Wednesday.

Marine

No hazardous marine weather is expected through Sunday.

Beaches

A south swell from 200 degrees of 3-4 ft feet at 17 seconds will produce surf of 3-6 feet with sets to 7 feet into Wednesday. Strong rip currents are expected along with minor tidal overflow during the evening high tide.

Wednesday, a 4-5 ft swell from 160-180 degrees with a period of 13- 15 seconds associated with Hurricane Genevieve will arrive. Surf of 5-9 ft is expected on south facing beaches in Orange County with surf around 3-6 ft elsewhere. Surf will peak on Thursday and Friday, when the swell direction shifts to 180-190 degrees. Strong rip and longshore currents will create dangerous swimming conditions at most area beaches. In addition to the high surf, evening high tides will be above 6 ft this week. The combination of high tides and surf increases the risk of coastal flooding. The swell, period, and tides are expected to decrease over the weekend.

Watches, Warnings, Advisories

Ca, Beach Hazards Statement through Wednesday afternoon for Orange County Coastal Areas-San Diego County Coastal Areas.

Coastal Flood Advisory from 5 PM Wednesday to 3 AM PDT Saturday for Orange County Coastal Areas-San Diego County Coastal Areas.

High Surf Advisory from 5 PM Wednesday to 5 PM PDT Saturday for Orange County Coastal Areas-San Diego County Coastal Areas.

Heat Advisory from 10 AM Friday to 8 PM PDT Sunday for Orange County Coastal Areas-San Diego County Coastal Areas.

Extreme Heat Warning from 10 AM Thursday to 8 PM PDT Sunday for Apple and Lucerne Valleys-Coachella Valley-Riverside County Mountains-San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys-The Inland Empire-San Diego County Deserts-San Diego County Mountains-San Gorgonio Pass near Banning.

Extreme Heat Warning from 10 AM Friday to 8 PM PDT Sunday for Orange County Inland Areas-San Diego County Valleys-Santa Ana Mountains and Foothills.

Heat Advisory from 10 AM Thursday to 8 PM PDT Sunday for San Bernardino County Mountains.

PZ, None.

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