Swell Matrix

Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard Ca

401 pm PST Mon Jan 26 2026

Synopsis

26/1157 AM.

Temperatures will trend upwards through Tuesday, with above normal daytime highs expected much of the week, peaking over the weekend. Periods of Santa Ana Winds will occur in the hills and mountains, and a weak frontal system on Wednesday will bring a drop in temperatures and increased clouds to the area.

Short Term

(tdy-Thu), 26/1241 PM.

Today and Tuesday will see warming temperatures each day as a weak ridge pops up over the region. Additionally surface pressure gradients and thus offshore winds across LA and Ventura Counties may increase on Tuesday, further contributing to the warming temperatures. Even with slightly strong winds, most areas will remain below Wind Advisory level. Expect mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 60s to low 70s though Tuesday.

Early Wednesday, a weak frontal passage will bring a slight 5-15% chance of showers to the northwestern portion of San Luis Obispo County. Additionally all areas will see an increase in cloud cover, especially during the morning. Offshore northeast flow will strengthen further and extend to northern areas, in particular the Santa Lucia Mountains and foothills along the Central Coast. Wednesay night through Thursday morning, winds are likely to reach advisory level across portions of the Central Coast and the typical Santa Wind Corridor in LA/Ventura Counties. Temperatures will continue to rise on Thursday, with most areas expected to see highs in the 70s.

Long Term

(Fri-Mon), 26/1238 PM.

Ridging and weak offshore flow will continue Fri into Sat. There will be a few more degrees of warming on Friday, which will bring some areas into the lower 80s. Max temps will be 8 to 12 degrees over normal. There will be little change in the conditions Saturday.

A switch to onshore flow on Sunday will bring some marine layer clouds back to the area as well as a 2 to 5 degree cooling with highs generally in the 70s.

A moderate to strong Santa Ana Wind event is possible roughly next Tuesday or Wednesday (Feb 3 and 4).

Looking further down the road, dry weather will likely prevail through at least February 9th.

Aviation

27/0000z.

At 2336Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer nor an inversion.

High confidence in TAFs, except KPRB where there is a 20 percent chc of VFR conds persisting through the period.

KLAX, High confidence in TAF. There is a 30% chance of an 8 kt east wind between 05Z-08Z Tue, otherwise good confidence that any east wind component remains below 6 kt.

KBUR, High confidence in TAF.

Marine

26/1157 AM.

For the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Through Tuesday, winds and seas are expected to remain below Small Craft Advisory (SCA) levels. Winds are expected to increase Wednesday, with a 30-40 percent chance of SCA gusts, highest over PZZ673. The SCA winds may continue into Thursday. Seas will also increase starting on Wednesday and reaching 10 to 12 feet on Thursday. SCA level seas will persist into Friday, before decreasing over the weekend.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. There is a 20-30% chance of SCA level northeast winds Wednesday night into Thursday morning, and seas may exceed 10 feet as early as Thursday morning and persist near or above 10 feet through Friday morning.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate confidence in current forecast. Areas of gusty offshore winds are expected for the near shore coastal waters off the Ventura County Coast to Malibu each morning through Saturday. These winds should mostly remain below SCA levels.

Watches, Warnings, Advisories

Ca, NONE. PZ, NONE.

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