02/119 PM.
Small chance of very light rain for the Central Coast Tuesday. Otherwise mostly dry conditions with a general warming trend and periods of offshore winds expected through the week. Warmest and windiest conditions likely Friday-Sunday.
(tdy-Thu), 02/119 PM.
Another cool night is on tap, although not quite as cool as last night. Then tomorrow features a slight chance to a chance of very light rain across the Central Coast, with highest chances in far northwest SLO County. Otherwise we are expecting dry conditions with generally slightly below normal high temperatures over the next few days. The upper low passing to our north and its decaying cold front responsible for the light rain chances across the Central Coast will bring partly to mostly cloudy skies to the region and slight cooling to much of the area tomorrow (especially up north) along with some breezy onshore winds at the coasts.
Weak to locally moderate north to northeast flow will be common each day across the interior and southern Santa Barbara starting Tuesday night. This will help temperatures gradually warm through the week, with high temperatures inching closer to early November averages by Thursday. Winds will likely remain below advisory levels, but some isolated areas may gust to 45 mph. Therefore widespread wind advisories are unlikely, but there is a low chance for issuances for the windiest areas.
(Fri-Mon), 02/119 PM.
The long term period will be characterized by ridging and more expansive Santa Ana Winds, bringing warm, dry, and windy conditions to the region. Winds will likely descend to coastal areas such as the Ventura County coastal plain and Malibu. While these winds will likely reach more locations, wind speeds are still favored to remain just a touch below advisory levels across most areas. However, if upper level support increases some, surface level winds could reach advisory levels.
Temperatures will increase under the influence of the downslope warming effect of the Santa Ana Winds, especially at the coasts. At this point there is an increasing risk of moderate heat related illnesses for coastal areas Saturday and Sunday when warmest temperatures are expected, thus Heat Advisories may be needed.
03/0014z.
At 2323Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer. There was an elevated inversion between 2000 feet and 2600 feet. The top of this inversion had a temperature of 17 degrees C.
High confidence in the 00Z TAFs overall, except moderate confidence in KSMX/KSBP/KPRB with 30-50% chance of low MVFR to IFR cigs 10-18Z and 20% of -dz or -shra from 18Z to 24Z.
KLAX, High confidence in the 00Z TAF. VFR conditions will prevail. High confidence in any east wind component remaining below 8 kt and likely under 6 kt.
KBUR, High confidence in VFR TAF for the 00Z issuance.
02/1043 AM.
There is a 40-80% chance (highest southern waters, especially Point Conception to near Channel Islands) for SCA conds developing Tuesday afternoon and continuing into Wednesday. Finally, over portions of the outer waters, SCA winds may persist through Thursday or Friday.
SCA level seas of 8-12 feet are possible at times Wednesday through the weekend focused across the outer and northern waters.
SCA level offshore winds may develop this weekend, most notably offshore of the coastline from Malibu to Ventura
Ca, Beach Hazards Statement in effect until 6 PM PST this evening for zones 354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX). PZ, Small Craft Advisory in effect from 1 PM Tuesday to 4 AM PST Wednesday for zones 650-655. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect from 8 AM Wednesday to 8 AM PST Thursday for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect from 1 PM Tuesday to 8 AM PST Thursday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
