Issued at 754 PM PST Thu Nov 5 2026
A few high to mid-level clouds continue to stream overhead as high pressure builds over the region. The SFO-WMC pressure gradient strengthened to -6.3 mb from -3.1 mb this time yesterday. This will support another overnight push of offshore flow across the higher terrain. Despite this, there is a slight chance (20%) for fog development in the North Bay interior valleys due to radiational cooling before sunrise.
Navarrete
, Issued at 1200 PM PST Thu Nov 5 2026 (This evening through Friday night)
Temperatures will be on a gradual warming trend through the remainder of the week as high pressure builds in from the Eastern Pacific. As such, afternoon temperatures will be up to 2-8 deg F above seasonal averages today in the major population centers. High clouds will be streaming in from the northwest throughout the afternoon and evening hours, having little effect on temperatures.
Not seeing much in the way of fog development tonight, as weak to moderate offshore flow persists across the higher terrain of the Bay Area and Central Coast. However, cannot rule out a few pockets of fog in the North Bay valleys early Friday morning and lingering until the Sun rises before quickly mixing out. Once again, high clouds are forecast to stream in from the northwest on Friday morning and then clearing out by mid-to-late afternoon. As such, daytime high temperatures on Friday look to be a few degrees warmer than today.
..issued at 1200 PM PST Thu Nov 5 2026 (Saturday through next Wednesday)
Weak ridging or zonal flow will persist across the region through early next week, leading to slightly above normal temperatures. This will be both overnight minimums and afternoon maximums. A shallow marine layer, generally less than 1,000 feet, is forecast to return Saturday night into Sunday morning ahead of an approaching frontal system set to move into northern California. Confidence in wet weather conditions have stayed the same if not lessened slightly heading into the middle of next week and beyond. Again, the ECMWF ensemble mean shows greater than 2" of rain at SFO between Wednesday the 11th and Wednesday the 18th. While that is about normal for the interior month, it looks to be spread out in time. However, given the lack of confidence looking out this far in time, be sure to check back for the latest forecast information.
(06z TAFS) Issued at 907 PM PST Thu Nov 5 2026
Currently VFR. Moderate to high confidence in VFR and diurnal winds prevailing through the TAF period. Warmer and drier conditions should preclude fog/stratus development; however, there is a low probability for radiational fog/stratus to develop. If it develops, it'll likely be between 08Z and 20Z with the best chances 14Z to 18Z.
Vicinity of SFO, Currently VFR with westerly flow. Moderate to high confidence in VFR and diurnal winds prevailing through the TAF period.
SFO Bridge Approach, If radiational fog/stratus develops, it'll likely initiate along the San Mateo Bridge Approach.
Monterey Bay Terminals, VFR conditions are expected to continue though the TAF period. Drainage winds will persist overnight before veering mid morning returning the area to sea breeze conditions.
(tonight through next Wednesday) Issued at 907 PM PST Thu Nov 5 2026
Rough, ten foot seas will result in hazardous conditions for small craft across the outer waters through Saturday. Very rough seas will build into the outer waters Sunday into Monday with moderate to rough seas across the inner waters. Moderate to fresh northerly breezes will prevail across the inner and outer waters with bays remaining more sheltered.
Issued at 1200 PM PST Thu Nov 5 2026
Beach Hazards Statement:
Hazardous beach conditions will be present at Pacific Coast beaches through Monday as long period (14-18 second) westerly/northwesterly swell will bring an increased risk for sneaker waves and strong rip currents. Breaking waves of 12 to 16 feet are expected at exposed beaches. Spring tides will also increase the currents and bring higher tides than normal. Waves can sweep across the shoreline without warning, pulling people into the sea from beaches, jetties, and rocks. Stay off of jetties, piers, rocks, and other waterside infrastructure. Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous surf and never turn your back on the ocean!
Coastal Flood Advisory:
A combination of high astronomical tides and thermal expansion from warmer than normal water will result in tidal flooding concerns across Bayshore locations in the San Francisco, San Pablo, and Monterey Bays. At the San Francisco tide gauge, high tide is expected 1.4 ft above normal (7.2 ft MLLW) at 9:08 AM Friday 11/6, 1.6 ft above normal (7.4 ft MLLW) at 9:38 AM Saturday 11/7, 1.6 ft above normal (7.4 ft MLLW) at 10:06 AM Sunday 11/8, 1.6 ft above normal (7.4 ft MLLW) at 10:35 AM Monday 11/9, 1.5 ft above normal (7.3 ft MLLW) at 11:04 AM Tuesday 11/10, 1.4 ft above normal (7.2 ft MLLW) at 11:35 AM Wednesday 11/11, 1.4 ft above normal (7.2 ft MLLW) at 12:10 PM Thursday 11/12, 1.2 ft above normal (7.0 ft MLLW) at 12:49 PM Friday 11/13. These predictions include up to 1.5 ft of surge that will enhance the astronomical tide and flooding threat. High tide varies up to 90 minutes earlier or later along the Pacific Coast and through the San Francisco Bay, respectively. In addition, long-period swell will create hazardous conditions along the Pacific coast beaches with an increased risk of sneaker waves and rip currents.
These Spring Tides are due to a new moon on Monday, which is much lower in the sky this time of year compared to a full moon. In 2 weeks, the astronomical tides will be about 0.8' higher than this round, and the total water level could be more than a foot higher if we get SW winds and/or lower pressure. This combination would bring the total water level near the 1% annual exceedance probability (2.85' above normal), or a 1 in 100 year event. Something to keep an eye on for the week of Thanksgiving.
Sarment/Flynn
Ca, Beach Hazards Statement through Monday evening for CAZ006-505- 509-529-530.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 PM PST Friday for CAZ006-506-508- 530.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 6 AM Saturday to noon PST Tuesday for CAZ505-509-529.
PZ, Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PST Saturday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm.
Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM PST Saturday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.
