, Issued at 1248 AM PDT Thu Aug 6 2026 (Today and tonight)
Longwave upper-level ridging will drift in from the Eastern Pacific Ocean today, compressing the marine layer to near 1,500 feet in the process. Temperatures will be near to slightly above normal with the diurnal sea breeze. A surge of monsoonal moisture arrives today, increasing surface dew points and relative humidity in the process. Sensible weather wise, this will make it feel hotter and more uncomfortable than what the thermometer reads. Areas of moderate HeatRisk are expected in the interior with pockets of major in the higher terrain of Monterey and San Benito Counties. Stagnant air from the ridge may support haze from wildfire smoke. Elevated fire weather conditions continue today above the marine layer.
..issued at 1248 AM PDT Thu Aug 6 2026 (Friday through Wednesday)
Surface high pressure over the Four Corners will build and expand westward Friday and into the weekend. This will bring the hottest conditions of the week and compress the marine layer further. Areas of moderate HeatRisk across the interior on Friday will expand to become widespread on Saturday with areas of major. To put this into context: 850mb temperatures, 500mb heights, and PWAT values are all forecast to exceed the 90th percentile Saturday. No records are forecast with temperatures 10-15 degrees above normal for the hottest spots. A potential wild card in the precision and subsequent impacts of the forecast is the aforementioned surge of monsoonal moisture. Mid-to-high level clouds would limit solar insolation during the day and radiational cooling at night, potentially resulting in cooler highs and warmer lows than the official forecast. Even though the ridge will begin to break down and dry air will begin to get filtered in from the northwest, cumulative impacts from the heat and humidity will likely still be felt on Sunday. Near- critical fire weather conditions are expected above the compressed marine layer Friday through the weekend due to hot and dry conditions with the diurnal sea breeze. Global ensemble clusters are in agreement that upper-level shortwave troughing off the West Coast will prevent the aforementioned ridge and subtropical high pressure across the Eastern Pacific Ocean from joining forces and building out of control across our area. Sensible weather wise, temperatures will moderate to near normal with onshore flow Monday through Wednesday. Minor coastal flooding is expected during the highest high tide (evening/overnight) for bayshore locations along the San Francisco Bay, San Pablo Bay, and Monterey Bay Saturday evening through Thursday morning.
(12z TAFS) Issued at 423 AM PDT Thu Aug 6 2026
Strong 500 mb high pressure continues while coastal stratus and patchy mist/fog /MVFR-IFR/ are moving inland on onshore winds. Onshore winds are supported by a 2.4 mb SFO-SAC pressure gradient. Stratus, mist/fog will mix out to VFR by late morning and early afternoon. Coastal stratus, mist/fog /MVFR-IFR/ return inland on onshore winds tonight and Friday morning.
Vicinity of SFO, Stratus /MVFR/ mixing out to VFR 17z today. Stratus returns 06z tonight. West to northwest wind 5 to 15 knots.
SFO Bridge Approach, Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals, Stratus /IFR/ until late morning then mixing out to MVFR-VFR. Stratus /IFR/ returns this evening and overnight. Mainly northwest winds 5 to 15 knots.
(today through Tuesday) Issued at 412 AM PDT Thu Aug 6 2026
Northwest winds will increase over the outer coastal waters Friday through the weekend resulting in hazardous seas conditions for small craft. A long period southwesterly swell of 15-17sec begins Saturday, peaks on Sunday then begins to subside by the beginning of next week.
Ca, None. PZ, None.
