Issued at 810 PM PST Sat Nov 7 2026
The short term forecast remains on track. An approaching weak cold front will deepen low level clouds through the overnight hours. The increased moisture flux from these clouds will cool day time temperatures tomorrow slightly. Similar to yesterday, the more notable change is in the long term forecast. The window for widespread rain opens next Friday into the weekend.
Navarrete
, Issued at 1128 AM PST Sat Nov 7 2026 (This afternoon through Sunday)
Temperatures are forecast to be in the upper 60s to low 70s near the coast with gradual warming as you move inland away from the coast. Meanwhile, the interior valleys are forecast to reach into the mid 70s to lower 80s across the interior Central Coast as sunny skies prevail. This is some 5-10 deg F above normal. Gentle to moderate offshore flow will persist through the night in the higher elevations before diminishing by Sunday afternoon. All of this is ahead of a cold front that is forecast to push inland across Northern California by Sunday morning and potentially making its way into the North Bay by the afternoon and early evening hours. However, as the front weakens, no measurable rainfall is expected across the North Bay. Temperatures on Sunday will be similar to those this afternoon, yet the incoming front passing to our north may result in increased cloud cover across the Bay Area and Central Coast.
Got beach plans? Check out the BEACHES section of the AFD for safety tips and more information on the Beach Hazards Statement and Coastal Flood Advisory.
..issued at 1128 AM PST Sat Nov 7 2026 (Sunday night through next Friday)
Not much has changed in the extended forecast. High pressure will rebuild in wake of the exiting trough across the Pacific Northwest from Tuesday through Thursday, maintaining afternoon temperatures up to 10-15 deg F above early-November climatological norms by Wednesday. Mid-to-upper level troughing remains forecast to deepen as it approaches the West Coast as early as Thursday. This is being depicted by ensemble models and clusters late next week and into the following weekend. However, their remains a great deal of uncertainty regarding the exact track of this system and its available moisture source. For now, enjoy the warm weather that is forecast to persist through midweek, just be mindful of the coastal hazards! Also, check back for next week's rain chances and their impacts.
(06z TAFS) Issued at 930 PM PST Sat Nov 7 2026
Currently MVFR-VFR. The 00Z sounding observed a marine layer of 850 feet. With an incoming cold front, ceilings likely won't lower overnight with the accompanying lift. As such, somewhat optimistic forecast on tap with moderate to high confidence in MVFR ceilings returning to all terminals tonight with higher confidence for the Bay Area than the Central Coast. Conditions will begin to improve by 16Z if not earlier. Diurnal winds will prevail.
Vicinity of SFO, Currently VFR with westerly flow. Moderate confidence on an MVFR ceiling developing at the terminal tonight. With a compressed marine layer, stratus will need to expand across the bay for the terminal to get it; thus, the arrival time will likely be late around 09Z. Diurnal winds will prevail.
SFO Bridge Approach, SJC is on the brink of observing an MVFR ceiling. This will likely expand in all directions overnight. Conditions will begin to improve by 16Z if not earlier with clearing from north to south.
Monterey Bay Terminals, Currently VFR with southwesterly flow at MRY and VFR with westerly flow at SNS. Moderate confidence in MVFR ceilings returning to the terminals tonight. Limiting factor will likely be drainage flow as it will bring in drier air and keep stratus out over the Monterey Bay. Diurnal winds will prevail.
(tonight through next Friday) Issued at 810 PM PST Sat Nov 7 2026
Moderate to fresh northerly breezes will prevail, with bays remaining more sheltered. Rough to very rough seas will create hazardous conditions for small craft across the inner and outer waters through Monday. Seas begin to subside Tuesday and winds will back through the day Wednesday to become southerly.
Issued at 1128 AM PST Sat Nov 7 2026
Beach Hazard Statement remains in effect. Nice weather today and have beach plans? Definitely use caution as the surf zone will remain energetic due to mixed swells and longer periods. As such, large shore break, sneaker waves, and stronger rip currents will be possible. Breaking waves of 12 to 16 feet are expected at exposed beaches. Spring tides will also increase the currents and bring higher tides than normal. Waves can sweep across the shoreline without warning, pulling people into the sea from beaches, jetties, and rocks. Stay off of jetties, piers, rocks, and other waterside infrastructure. Remain out of the water if you're not an experienced swimmer to avoid hazardous surf and never turn your back on the ocean! There may be a lull in wave activity early next week, but longer range forecasts show additional swells impacting the coast late next week.
Coastal Flood Advisory:
A combination of high astronomical tides and thermal expansion from warmer than normal water will result in tidal flooding concerns across Bayshore locations in the San Francisco, San Pablo, and Monterey Bays. At the San Francisco tide gauge, high tide is expected to be 1.6 ft above normal (7.4 ft MLLW) at 10:06 AM Sunday 11/8, 1.6 ft above normal (7.4 ft MLLW) at 10:35 AM Monday 11/9, 1.5 ft above normal (7.3 ft MLLW) at 11:04 AM Tuesday 11/10, 1.4 ft above normal (7.2 ft MLLW) at 11:35 AM Wednesday 11/11, 1.4 ft above normal (7.2 ft MLLW) at 12:10 PM Thursday 11/12, 1.2 ft above normal (7.0 ft MLLW) at 12:49 PM Friday 11/13. These predictions include up to 1.5 ft of surge that will enhance the astronomical tide and flooding threat. High tide varies up to 90 minutes earlier or later along the Pacific Coast and through the San Francisco Bay, respectively. In addition, long-period swell will create hazardous conditions along the Pacific coast beaches with an increased risk of sneaker waves and rip currents.
These Spring Tides are due to a new moon on Monday, which is much lower in the sky this time of year compared to a full moon. In 2 weeks, the astronomical tides will be about 0.8' higher than this round, and the total water level could be more than a foot higher if we get SW winds and/or lower pressure. This combination would bring the total water level near the 1% annual exceedance probability (2.85' above normal), or a 1 in 100 year event. Something to keep an eye on for the week of Thanksgiving.
Sarment/Flynn/MM
Ca, Beach Hazards Statement through Monday evening for CAZ006-505- 509-529-530.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 PM PST Friday for CAZ006-506-508- 530.
Coastal Flood Advisory until noon PST Tuesday for CAZ505-509-529.
PZ, Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PST Monday for Mry Bay-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM PST Monday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.
