, Issued at 1051 AM PDT Tue Mar 24 2026 (This afternoon through Wednesday)
Adjusted temperatures up slightly today given a number of daily high temperatures were set yesterday, with some more expected today. H50 height field will continue to gradually weaken the remainder of today and Wednesday. The net result of the lower heights and slight increase in cloud cover Wednesday will be around a 5 degree drop in daytime highs from todays values. The progressive trough working to flatten heights on the backside of the persistent ridge will also result in breezy to gusty winds at times Wednesday afternoon, especially near the coast and elevated interior locations. Increased coverage of marine stratus along the coast is also likely, but will struggle to penetrate too far inland with the upper ridging still holding it back mostly to the coastline.
..issued at 1051 AM PDT Tue Mar 24 2026 (Wednesday night through next Monday)
Not much change in the long term forecast through the weekend. Pleasant weather while temperatures mostly run 10-20 degrees above normal with generally light winds. The signal for a more significant pattern change appears to be trending upwards with ensembles and deterministic guidance coming more in line with one another. Confidence is highest for at least temperatures to be moderated closer to normal by the beginning of next week. The deeper offshore troughing beginning Monday that would be more favorable for potential rainfall also seems to be more likely than at this time yesterday. This is a trend we'll be monitoring closely. Attm the North Bay and the coastal ranges are in the best position to get periods of wetting rain later Monday into Tuesday, which does speak to the shallow nature of the moisture source in the lower boundary layer.
(06z TAFS) Issued at 939 PM PDT Tue Mar 24 2026
Currently VFR at all terminals. Low probability (20% or less) for sub-VFR conditions to return to the terminals tonight with the exception of HAF which is expected to be on the cusp of IFR/MVFR. Diurnal winds will prevail with gusty conditions developing tomorrow afternoon.
Vicinity of SFO, Currently VFR with westerly flow. High confidence in VFR prevailing through the TAF period. Stratus may begin to sneak through the Golden Gate Gap as early as 09Z, but confidence is low that it will reach the terminal. If a ceiling were to develop, it would likely be on the cusp of IFR/MVFR. Strong westerly winds will develop tomorrow, with about a 40% chance for gusts to reach or exceed 35 knots.
SFO Bridge Approach, Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals, Currently VFR with westerly flow at MRY and VFR and calm at SNS. High confidence in VFR prevailing through the TAF period. If a ceiling were to develop, it would likely be on the cusp of IFR/MVFR in the mid-to-late morning hours. Diurnal winds will prevail, with gusty conditions developing tomorrow afternoon.
(tonight through next Monday) Issued at 939 PM PDT Tue Mar 24 2026
Widespread hazardous conditions return tomorrow in the form of strong to near gale northerly breezes. Gale force gusts should be expected across the inner waters and outer waters with bays experiencing conditions hazardous to small craft. Seas will build to become rough to very rough as a result. Conditions will slowly improve Friday and into the weekend with moderate northerly breezes and moderate seas.
Ca, None. PZ, Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM to 9 PM PDT Wednesday for Mry Bay- SF Bay N of Bay Bridge.
Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM to 3 PM PDT Wednesday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.
Gale Warning from 3 PM Wednesday to 3 AM PDT Thursday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.
Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM Wednesday to 3 PM PDT Thursday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
Gale Warning from 3 PM Wednesday to 9 PM PDT Thursday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.
Gale Warning from 3 PM Wednesday to 9 AM PDT Thursday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM.
