, Issued at 1251 PM PST Wed Nov 4 2026 (This evening through Thursday night)
Low pressure continues to gradually progress southwards along the California Coast with the center passing by the Monterey/SLO County line this afternoon. Ridging rebuilds over California tonight into tomorrow which will bring a return of warmer temperatures. The initial ridge is moderated by a weak shortwave trough that pushes inland and deepens over Southern California. For us, that means high temperatures only warm a few degrees on Thursday with highs climbing back into the upper 60s to mid 70s across the interior and 60s along the coast. This is seasonal to slightly above normal (5 degrees) for early November. Morning low temperatures will be in the 40s across the interior and low 50s across the higher elevations. Expect overcast skies returning by late this evening and continuing through late Thursday morning. Dry conditions continue through the duration of the forecast period. Diurnally breezy conditions with gusts peaking between 20-30 mph continue during the afternoon/evening for mountain gap/passes (Salinas Valley, Altamont Pass), the higher elevations, and along the coast.
A combination of high astronomical tides and thermal expansion due to El Nino will result in coastal flooding concerns across Bayshore locations across the San Francisco, San Pablo, and Monterey Bays. At the San Francisco tidal gauge, high tide is expected to be 1.3 ft above normal (7.1 ft MLLW) at 8:35 AM Thursday 11/5, including 1.2 ft of surge residual that will enhance the astronomical tide and flooding threat. High tide varies up to 90 minutes earlier or later along the Pacific Coast and through the San Francisco Bay, respectively. Hazardous beach conditions are expected Thursday through Saturday due to an active sea state. A Beach Hazards Statement is in effect Thursday morning to Saturday evening.
..issued at 1251 PM PST Wed Nov 4 2026 (Friday through next Tuesday)
Ridging dominates much of the upcoming long term forecast with a warming trend and return of above normal temperatures anticipated. High temperatures warm into the mid to upper 70s with pockets on low 80s across the warmest locations (interior Central Coast, southern Santa Clara Valley). This is around 1Dry conditions expected today into early next week. 0 degrees above normal for this time of year. Temperatures remain consistent through early to mid next week when we see our first indication that troughing/unsettled weather are returning. Tuesday to Wednesday looks to be a transition day with ridging exiting east and troughing building in. This will bring cooler, more seasonal temperatures back with highs dropping into the 60s to low 70s Tuesday and Wednesday. Ensembles are in favor of rain returning and continuing through mid to late month. With a wetter second half of the month possible, now would be a good time to ensure your gutters are cleared out, outdoor items are secured, and any other winter preparations are completed.
Coastal flooding concerns continue through Monday with the combination of high astronomical tides and thermal expansion surge resulting in minor flooding in Bayshore locations along the San Francisco, San Pablo, and Monterey Bays. At the San Francisco tidal gauge, high tide is expected to be 1.4 ft above normal (7.2 ft MLLW) at 9:08 AM Friday 11/6, 1.6 ft above normal (7.4 ft MLLW) at 9:38 AM Saturday 11/7, 1.6 ft above normal (7.4 ft MLLW) at 10:06 AM Sunday 11/8, and 1.6 ft above normal (7.4 ft MLLW) at 10:35 AM Monday 11/9. These predictions include up to 1.2 ft of surge that will enhance the astronomical tide and flooding threat. High tide varies up to 90 minutes earlier or later along the Pacific Coast and through the San Francisco Bay, respectively. In addition, long- period swell Thursday through Saturday will create hazardous conditions along the Pacific coast beaches with an increased risk of sneaker waves and rip currents.
(00z TAFS) Issued at 359 PM PST Wed Nov 4 2026
High pressure returns during the 00z TAFs. High clouds will move in from the west tonight into Thursday morning. At least partial radiative cooling will likely result in patchy fog /IFR-LIFR/ tonight and Thursday morning. Otherwise dry weather continues with VFR.
Vicinity of SFO, VFR. Wind westerly 15 to 25 knots early to mid evening then light northeast wind tonight through Thursday morning. West to northwest wind 10 to 15 knots late Thursday afternoon and evening.
SFO Bridge Approach, Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals, VFR. Onshore winds 10 knots shifting to light southeasterly tonight, then becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots Thursday afternoon.
(tonight through next Monday) Issued at 246 PM PST Wed Nov 4 2026
Quiet weather on tap for the rest of the week high pressure building into the region. Northerly winds become moderate to fresh and slacken to gentle to moderate breezes for Sunday. Moderate to rough seas prevail through the weekend.
Issued at 329 AM PST Wed Nov 4 2026
Hazardous beach conditions will be present at Pacific Coast beaches Thursday through Saturday as long period (14-18 second) westerly/northwesterly swell will bring an increased risk for sneaker waves and strong rip currents with breaking waves of 12 to 16 feet. Waves can sweep across the shoreline without warning, pulling people into the sea from beaches, jetties, and rocks. Stay off of jetties, piers, rocks, and other waterside infrastructure. Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous surf and never turn your back on the ocean! Hazardous beach conditions may linger into Sunday and Monday and thus may warrant an extension of the Beach Hazards Statement.
Sarment
Ca, Coastal Flood Advisory until 1 PM PST Monday for CAZ006-506-508- 530.
Beach Hazards Statement from late tonight through Saturday evening for CAZ006-505-509-529-530.
PZ, Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM PST Thursday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.
Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PST this evening for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm- Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.
