Swell Matrix

Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Honolulu Hi

819 pm hst Wed aug 5 2026

Synopsis

Light to moderate trade winds will prevail for the next few days, followed by increasing trade wind speeds this weekend. Meanwhile, an upper disturbance just to the northwest will enhance showers over the western end of the state for the next few days. The focus for increased showers will shift to the eastern end of the state this weekend as an area of tropical moisture passes by.

Aviation

Issued at 318 PM HST Wed Aug 5 2026 A weak high pressure ridge far north of the state will maintain gentle to moderate trade winds through Thursday. Overall, a fairly dry afternoon and evening is expected, but a slight increase of showers is expected late tonight into Thursday morning, mainly over windward areas. Some of these showers could produce brief MVFR ceilings over select areas.

No AIRMETs are in effect. AIRMET Sierra may be needed across select windward areas late tonight into Thursday morning depending on shower coverage.

Marine

Issued at 318 PM HST Wed Aug 5 2026 Moderate trades persist as surface troughing to the NE maintains a rather weak pressure gradient over the state. Dissipation of the trough to the NE combined with renewed trough development S of the islands will favor breezy trades by week's end.

Existing small S swell will fade tonight and will be quickly replaced by a similarly sized medium period S swell during Thursday. Small, medium period energy remains prevalent heading into the weekend. A larger, medium to long period S swell arrives early next week and likely peaks shy of the High Surf Advisory threshold by the middle of next week. Long period forerunners are expected to arrive as early as Friday evening or Friday night.

Watches, Warnings, Advisories

None.

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