Dry weather and light winds through Thursday will transition into a windy and wet weekend. There are increasing probabilities for a significant weather event this weekend into early next week.
Issued at 314 AM HST Wed Feb 4 2026
VFR conditions expected, save for brief localized MVFR cigs in the Big Island and Maui County. Mostly clear skies and diurnal winds generally less than 15 kts will prevail as surface high pressure moves through the island chain through the next 24 hours.
No AIRMETs are currently in effect.
Issued at 314 AM HST Wed Feb 4 2026
Moderate to fresh north to northeast breezes will briefly veer out of the east today as high pressure builds over the state. The pressure gradient will become weak enough to support localized afternoon sea breezes for Kauai and Oahu today. Moderate to locally fresh south to southwest winds are expected to return over the western end of the state during the second half of the week as the next cold front draws closer. Guidance shows this next front moving into the area late Friday through Saturday with strong- to near gale-force northeast winds filling in behind it late in the weekend through early next week. Ocean conditions will quickly respond and become rough due to a combination of winds and seas. In addition to the winds and seas, a wet pattern with locally heavy rainfall and potentially a few storms will accompany this front.
Surf along exposed north- and west-facing shores of the smaller islands will remain well above warning levels today before gradually lowering to advisory levels by Thursday. Observations at the offshore buoys to the northwest reflect this trend and indicate the swell steadily easing overnight. Heights will dip below advisory levels for a brief period Thursday night into Friday, then return to warning levels for exposed coasts Friday night into Saturday due to a fresh northwest swell arriving. For north facing shores of the Big Island, heights will remain around the advisory level today, then drop below tonight.
Surf along east facing shores could quickly rise and become rough this weekend, with heights potentially nearing the warning level during the peak by Monday.
High Surf Warning until 6 PM HST this evening for Kauai North- Kauai Southwest-Kohala-Kona-Maui Central Valley North-Maui Windward West-Molokai North-Molokai West-Molokai Windward-Niihau- Oahu North Shore-Waianae Coast-Windward Haleakala.
High Surf Advisory until 6 PM HST this evening for Big Island East-Big Island North.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM HST Thursday for Alenuihaha Channel-Big Island Windward Waters-Kaiwi Channel-Kauai Channel- Kauai Leeward Waters-Kauai Northwest Waters-Kauai Windward Waters-Maui County Windward Waters-Oahu Leeward Waters-Oahu Windward Waters.
