Swell Matrix

Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Honolulu Hi

455 pm hst Fri Jan 16 2026

Synopsis

The dry and cool air most of us woke up to this morning will become "modified" (warmer and more moist) through the weekend as trade winds continue. Southeast winds will build in late Sunday through Tuesday, further increasing warmth and relative humidity values. A front looks likely to pass through much (or all) of the state Wednesday/Thursday next week, bringing an increase in the chance of moderate to potentially heavy rain. But confidence is not high yet on exactly how far it will get.

Watches, Warnings, Advisories

High Surf Warning until 4 AM HST Saturday for Niihau-Kauai Leeward-Waianae Coast-Oahu North Shore-Maui Windward West-Kauai North-Molokai Windward-Molokai North-Molokai West-Maui Central Valley North-Windward Haleakala.

High Surf Advisory until 4 AM HST Saturday for Kona-Kohala.

Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM HST Saturday for Kauai Northwest Waters-Kauai Windward Waters-Kauai Leeward Waters-Kauai Channel- Oahu Windward Waters-Oahu Leeward Waters.

Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST Saturday for Kaiwi Channel- Maui County Windward Waters-Maui County Leeward Waters-Maalaea Bay-Pailolo Channel-Alenuihaha Channel-Big Island Windward Waters-Big Island Leeward Waters-Big Island Southeast Waters.

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