Swell Matrix

Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Honolulu Hi

938 am hst Sat Jun 27 2026

Synopsis

Moderate to breezy trades are expected to prevail today, slightly decrease on Sunday, then remain at mostly moderate speeds through late next week. Bands of low clouds and showers will periodically push through the islands, focusing primarily over windward and mauka areas during the overnight and early morning hours.

Aviation

Moderate to breezy trades through Sunday. Low clouds and scattered showers will occur at times, mainly over windward and mauka areas, making for intermittent MVFR conditions. Otherwise VFR conditions are expected.

AIRMET Sierra is in effect for mountain obscuration for windward sections of Kauai. Conditions may continue into the afternoon due to ongoing showers and low clouds.

AIRMET Tango is in effect for moderate turbulence downwind of terrain due to the breezy trade winds and will continue through the forecast period.

Marine

Issued at 308 AM HST Sat Jun 27 2026 A high pressure ridge far north of the Hawaiian Islands will remain anchored in place, keeping trade winds blowing across the region through much of next week. The Small Craft Advisory (SCA) continues for Oahu Leeward Waters, all coastal waters and channels around Maui, and windier waters near the Big Island. This SCA will continue through tonight. Winds may slightly decrease from Sunday into Monday, but will likely remain at SCA levels for our typical windier waters near Maui and the Big Island.

A small, long period south swell will arrive and fill in today, peak on Sunday, then gradually decline through the first half of next week. This south swell energy will boost surf heights back up to near normal for this time of year.

Surf along east facing shores will remain rough and choppy with a slight decline possible early next week due to minor fluctuations of our trades. Surf heights along north facing shores will remain small to tiny through the first half of next week.

Watches, Warnings, Advisories

Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM HST Sunday for Alenuihaha Channel-Big Island Leeward Waters-Big Island Southeast Waters- Kaiwi Channel-Maalaea Bay-Maui County Leeward Waters-Maui County Windward Waters-Oahu Leeward Waters-Pailolo Channel.

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