Trade winds will continue through the weekend and into next week, bringing showers to the usual areas, with Sunday seeing the most showers. A trough may move close enough to put us in a wetter pattern from the middle to the end of next week, but confidence is not high at this time.
Issued at 307 PM HST Thu Feb 12 2026
Breezy trades will continue to persist over most of the island chain. Intermittent mountain and windward showers are expected to persist as well, with MVFR conditions possible under shower activity. Leeward sites expected to remain VFR.
AIRMET Sierra is in effect for mountain obscuration for Kauai, Oahu, Molokai, Maui, and the Big Island for windward sections due to ongoing showers and low ceilings. Conditions are largely expected to persist through the evening.
AIRMET Tango remains in effect for moderate turbulence below 7 kft for leeward sides of the islands. Conditions are expected to persist for the next several days.
Issued at 915 PM HST Thu Feb 12 2026
Strong high pressure building far north of the waters will continue to drift east supporting moderate to strong easterly trade winds and elevated seas into next week. Winds look to maintain strong speeds but veer slightly early next week as high pressure continues to tracks east and a potential disturbance may develop to the west northwest of the islands too. A Small Craft Advisory (SCA) is in effect for all coastal waters through Friday night and will likely be extended through the weekend.
A small to moderate medium to long period northwest swell will continue to build slowly overnight and peak Friday into Saturday just below High Surf Advisory (HSA) levels, before declining through the weekend. Looking into next week, small background northwest swell energy is expected through the forecast period.
Surf along east facing shores will continue to build over all waters into this weekend and early next week due to persistent strong trades locally and upstream of the islands. A HSA is likely for east facing shores over the weekend.
Surf along south shores remains small with some background trade wind swell for select exposures.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM HST Saturday for Alenuihaha Channel-Big Island Leeward Waters-Big Island Southeast Waters- Big Island Windward Waters-Kaiwi Channel-Kauai Channel-Kauai Leeward Waters-Kauai Northwest Waters-Kauai Windward Waters- Maalaea Bay-Maui County Leeward Waters-Maui County Windward Waters-Oahu Leeward Waters-Oahu Windward Waters-Pailolo Channel.
